Sunday, November 9, 2008

4 Month Update

The Sensex recovered almost 35% from the lows of 7900 last month ! There might be one sharp downward rally and then the “Apathy” phase of 2-3 months will come in force.
Markets will consolidate and the start the gradual process of recovery. Sensex might remain for quite some time in 10-12K range ( till elections I think) but watching the sensex is like missing the woods for the trees.

Individual stocks will rally 30-35% in the next 2-3 months. If you had bought Bank of India ( and quite a few others) on the Monday of Diwali week you would be sitting on a cool 35% profit !! Trick is to forget the sensex and look for value. Anyone willing to wait 2-3 yrs can easily get returns of 80-100% plus ( tax free) , which no FD , FMP , MF or Real Estate can give !

my sample stocks are still trailing the nifty by 6-7% !